Miami vs Arizona: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Jakob Marsee at 99.0% versus Javier Sanoja at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Jakob Marsee — / Javier Sanoja — / Jordan Lawlar — / Lars Nootbaar — / Corbin Carroll — / Nolan Arenado — / Tim Tawa — / Ketel Marte — / Jordan Lawlar — / Lars Nootbaar — / Otto Lopez — / Gabriel Moreno — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Kyle Stowers — / Kyle Stowers — / Ketel Marte — / Nolan Arenado — / Corbin Carroll — / Heriberto Hernández — / Otto Lopez — / Pavin Smith — / Pavin Smith — / Xavier Edwards — / Agustín Ramírez — / Heriberto Hernández — / Joe Mack — / Gabriel Moreno — / Jakob Marsee — / Agustín Ramírez — / Griffin Conine — / Griffin Conine — / Tim Tawa —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Marsee | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Javier Sanoja | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 34.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Stowers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Stowers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xavier Edwards | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Agustín Ramírez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Agustín Ramírez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Miami vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Jakob Marsee priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Miami vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Stowers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Stowers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xavier Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Agustín Ramírez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Agustín Ramírez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Miami odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.