mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Miami vs Cincinnati: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Graham Pauley at 16.0% versus Jakob Marsee at 9.0%. Final book consensus: Graham Pauley — / Jakob Marsee — / Javier Sanoja — / Tyler Stephenson — / Joe Mack — / Javier Sanoja — / Owen Caissie — / Otto Lopez — / Dane Myers — / Xavier Edwards — / Noelvi Marte — / Graham Pauley — / Matt McLain — / Elly De La Cruz — / Griffin Conine — / Elly De La Cruz — / Sal Stewart — / Griffin Conine — / JJ Bleday — / Michael Toglia — / Michael Toglia — / Eugenio Suárez — / Sal Stewart — / Heriberto Hernández — / JJ Bleday — / Dane Myers — / Eugenio Suárez —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Pauley | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Javier Sanoja | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Javier Sanoja | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Owen Caissie | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dane Myers | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xavier Edwards | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Noelvi Marte | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Graham Pauley | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elly De La Cruz | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Elly De La Cruz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Toglia | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Toglia | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Dane Myers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Miami vs Cincinnati: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Graham Pauley priced at 16.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Miami vs Cincinnati: Home Runs?
- Graham Pauley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Owen Caissie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dane Myers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xavier Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Noelvi Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Graham Pauley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elly De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elly De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Toglia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Toglia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dane Myers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Miami odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.