Miami vs Cincinnati: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Matt McLain at 99.0% versus Ke'Bryan Hayes at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Matt McLain — / Ke'Bryan Hayes — / Joe Mack — / Jakob Marsee — / Joe Mack — / Graham Pauley — / Esteury Ruiz — / Jakob Marsee — / Owen Caissie — / Matt McLain — / Ke'Bryan Hayes — / Xavier Edwards — / Noelvi Marte — / Griffin Conine — / Tyler Stephenson — / Elly De La Cruz — / Otto Lopez — / Owen Caissie — / Sal Stewart — / Dane Myers — / Griffin Conine — / Sal Stewart — / JJ Bleday — / Eugenio Suárez — / Heriberto Hernández — / JJ Bleday — / Eugenio Suárez — / Elly De La Cruz — / Esteury Ruiz — / Otto Lopez — / Xavier Edwards —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 52.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Graham Pauley | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Esteury Ruiz | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Owen Caissie | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xavier Edwards | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Noelvi Marte | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elly De La Cruz | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Owen Caissie | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dane Myers | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elly De La Cruz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Esteury Ruiz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xavier Edwards | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Miami vs Cincinnati: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Matt McLain priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Miami vs Cincinnati: Home Runs?
- Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ke'Bryan Hayes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Graham Pauley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Esteury Ruiz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Owen Caissie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ke'Bryan Hayes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xavier Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Noelvi Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elly De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Owen Caissie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dane Myers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elly De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Esteury Ruiz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xavier Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Miami odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.