Miami vs Philadelphia: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Javier Sanoja at 99.0% versus Luis Arraez at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Javier Sanoja — / Luis Arraez — / Esteury Ruiz — / Joe Mack — / Javier Sanoja — / Justin Crawford — / Otto Lopez — / Bryce Harper — / Griffin Conine — / Heriberto Hernández — / Owen Caissie — / Xavier Edwards — / Garrett Stubbs — / Alec Bohm — / Alec Bohm — / Brandon Marsh — / Bryson Stott — / Jakob Marsee — / Joe Mack — / Otto Lopez — / Owen Caissie — / Bryson Stott — / Bryce Harper — / Trea Turner — / Kyle Schwarber — / Kyle Schwarber — / Kyle Schwarber — / Trea Turner — / Heriberto Hernández — / Jakob Marsee — / Griffin Conine — / Brandon Marsh —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Sanoja | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Esteury Ruiz | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Javier Sanoja | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Owen Caissie | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xavier Edwards | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Stubbs | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Owen Caissie | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Miami vs Philadelphia: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Javier Sanoja priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Miami vs Philadelphia: Home Runs?
- Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Esteury Ruiz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Owen Caissie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xavier Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Stubbs: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Owen Caissie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Miami odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.