New York M vs Miami: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Graham Pauley at 99.0% versus Juan Soto at 22.0%. Final book consensus: Graham Pauley — / Juan Soto — / Juan Soto — / Owen Caissie — / Griffin Conine — / Marcus Semien — / Jakob Marsee — / Carson Benge — / Heriberto Hernández — / Graham Pauley — / Javier Sanoja — / Griffin Conine — / Francisco Lindor — / Bo Bichette — / Brett Baty — / Otto Lopez — / A.J. Ewing — / Nick Morabito — / Heriberto Hernández — / Nick Morabito — / Brett Baty — / Francisco Alvarez — / Marcus Semien — / Francisco Alvarez — / Otto Lopez — / Joe Mack — / Jakob Marsee — / Joe Mack — / A.J. Ewing — / Kyle Stowers — / Carson Benge — / Kyle Stowers — / Francisco Lindor — / Bo Bichette —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Pauley | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Owen Caissie | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcus Semien | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Graham Pauley | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Javier Sanoja | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Morabito | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Morabito | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcus Semien | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Stowers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Stowers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price New York M vs Miami: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Graham Pauley priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for New York M vs Miami: Home Runs?
- Graham Pauley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Owen Caissie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcus Semien: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Graham Pauley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Morabito: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Morabito: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcus Semien: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Stowers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Stowers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live New York M odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.