mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
New York M vs San Diego: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Freddy Fermin at 99.0% versus Marcus Semien at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Freddy Fermin — / Marcus Semien — / Jackson Merrill — / Juan Soto — / Carson Benge — / Jared Young — / Marcus Semien — / Xander Bogaerts — / A.J. Ewing — / Juan Soto — / Brett Baty — / Luis Torrens — / Miguel Andujar — / Manny Machado — / Mark Vientos — / Manny Machado — / Gavin Sheets — / Brett Baty — / Carson Benge — / Bo Bichette — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Jackson Merrill — / Sung-Mun Song — / Bo Bichette — / Ty France —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcus Semien | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jared Young | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcus Semien | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Torrens | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Andujar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mark Vientos | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sung-Mun Song | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price New York M vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Freddy Fermin priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for New York M vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcus Semien: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jared Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcus Semien: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Torrens: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Andujar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mark Vientos: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sung-Mun Song: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live New York M odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.