New York M vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Richie Palacios at 99.0% versus Juan Soto at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Richie Palacios — / Juan Soto — / Chandler Simpson — / Junior Caminero — / Cedric Mullins — / Luis Torrens — / Luis Torrens — / Brett Baty — / Jared Young — / Liam Hicks — / Marcus Semien — / Marcus Semien — / Taylor Walls — / Victor Mesa — / Brett Baty — / Liam Hicks — / Cedric Mullins — / A.J. Ewing — / Victor Mesa — / Bo Bichette — / Francisco Lindor — / Carson Benge — / Juan Soto — / Carson Benge — / Francisco Lindor — / Bo Bichette — / Junior Caminero — / Jonathan Aranda — / Yandy Díaz — / Jonathan Aranda — / Yandy Díaz —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Palacios | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Torrens | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Torrens | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jared Young | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcus Semien | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcus Semien | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price New York M vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Richie Palacios priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for New York M vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Torrens: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Torrens: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jared Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcus Semien: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcus Semien: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live New York M odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.