New York M vs Toronto: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at 99.0% versus Brett Baty at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Brett Baty — / Carson Benge — / Carson Benge — / Daulton Varsho — / Ernie Clement — / Tyrone Taylor — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Nathan Lukes — / Sean Keys — / Alejandro Kirk — / Alejandro Kirk — / Ernie Clement — / Nathan Lukes — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Francisco Alvarez — / Jared Young — / Francisco Lindor — / A.J. Ewing — / Yohendrick Pinango — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Carson Benge — / Brett Baty — / Juan Soto — / Juan Soto — / Francisco Lindor — / Juan Soto — / Francisco Lindor — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Andrés Giménez — / Bo Bichette — / Bo Bichette — / Bo Bichette — / Daulton Varsho — / Tyrone Taylor — / Yohendrick Pinango — / Alejandro Kirk — / Ernie Clement — / Jared Young — / Sean Keys — / A.J. Ewing — / Francisco Alvarez — / Juan Soto — / Bo Bichette — / Andrés Giménez — / Nathan Lukes —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyrone Taylor | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sean Keys | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Alvarez | 60.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jared Young | 46.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yohendrick Pinango | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyrone Taylor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yohendrick Pinango | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jared Young | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sean Keys | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Alvarez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price New York M vs Toronto: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Vladimir Guerrero Jr. priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for New York M vs Toronto: Hits?
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyrone Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sean Keys: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jared Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yohendrick Pinango: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyrone Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yohendrick Pinango: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jared Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sean Keys: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live New York M odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.