Philadelphia vs Arizona: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nolan Arenado at 99.0% versus Bryce Harper at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Nolan Arenado — / Bryce Harper — / Bryce Harper — / Ketel Marte — / Gabriel Moreno — / Justin Crawford — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Bryson Stott — / Gabriel Moreno — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Luis Arraez — / Garrett Stubbs — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Garrett Stubbs — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Lars Nootbaar — / Trea Turner — / Trea Turner — / Ketel Marte — / Gabriel Moreno — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Trea Turner — / Justin Crawford — / Corbin Carroll — / Kyle Schwarber — / Brandon Marsh — / Alec Bohm — / Bryson Stott — / Nolan Arenado — / Corbin Carroll — / Lars Nootbaar — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Luis Arraez — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Kyle Schwarber — / Justin Crawford — / Bryson Stott — / Alec Bohm — / Ketel Marte — / Corbin Carroll — / Nolan Arenado — / Bryce Harper — / Brandon Marsh — / Garrett Stubbs — / Kyle Schwarber — / Alec Bohm — / Trea Turner — / Brandon Marsh — / Bryce Harper — / Alec Bohm — / Tim Tawa — / Luis Arraez —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Stubbs | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Stubbs | 60.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 54.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 33.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 30.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 30.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Stubbs | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Philadelphia vs Arizona: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nolan Arenado priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Philadelphia vs Arizona: Hits?
- Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Stubbs: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Stubbs: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Stubbs: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Philadelphia odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.