Philadelphia vs Arizona: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Tim Tawa at 99.0% versus Ildemaro Vargas at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Tim Tawa — / Ildemaro Vargas — / J.T. Realmuto — / Edmundo Sosa — / Derek Hill — / Alec Bohm — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Luis Arraez — / Luis Arraez — / Jordan Lawlar — / Jordan Lawlar — / Alec Bohm — / Bryce Harper — / Bryce Harper — / Bryce Harper — / Ketel Marte — / Trea Turner — / J.T. Realmuto — / Jordan Lawlar — / Gabriel Moreno — / Edmundo Sosa — / Derek Hill — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Tim Tawa — / Nolan Arenado — / Corbin Carroll — / Gabriel Moreno — / Luis Arraez — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Ketel Marte — / Bryson Stott — / Trea Turner — / Corbin Carroll — / Nolan Arenado — / Kyle Schwarber — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Kyle Schwarber — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Bryson Stott — / Gabriel Moreno — / Trea Turner — / Tim Tawa — / Luis Arraez — / Kyle Schwarber —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Tawa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edmundo Sosa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Derek Hill | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 94.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 64.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 53.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edmundo Sosa | 42.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Derek Hill | 32.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 21.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Philadelphia vs Arizona: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Tim Tawa priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Philadelphia vs Arizona: Hits?
- Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edmundo Sosa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Derek Hill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edmundo Sosa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Derek Hill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Philadelphia odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.