Philadelphia vs Arizona: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Bryce Harper at 99.0% versus Geraldo Perdomo at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Bryce Harper — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Lars Nootbaar — / James McCann — / Bryan De La Cruz — / Bryan De La Cruz — / Tim Tawa — / Trea Turner — / Justin Crawford — / Corbin Carroll — / Bryson Stott — / J.T. Realmuto — / Lars Nootbaar — / Gabriel Moreno — / Jordan Lawlar — / Luis Arraez — / Bryan De La Cruz — / Ketel Marte — / Brandon Marsh — / Kyle Schwarber — / Luis Arraez — / Justin Crawford — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Bryson Stott — / Geraldo Perdomo — / J.T. Realmuto — / Nolan Arenado — / Brandon Marsh — / Bryce Harper — / Lars Nootbaar — / Jordan Lawlar — / James McCann — / Corbin Carroll — / Kyle Schwarber — / Luis Arraez — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Gabriel Moreno — / Bryce Harper — / Tim Tawa — / Corbin Carroll — / Gabriel Moreno — / Nolan Arenado — / Kyle Schwarber — / J.T. Realmuto — / Bryson Stott — / Brandon Marsh — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Nolan Arenado — / Trea Turner — / James McCann — / Trea Turner — / Tim Tawa — / Luis Arraez — / Justin Crawford — / Jordan Lawlar — / Bryce Harper — / Trea Turner — / Bryson Stott —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 54.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 30.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 30.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 25.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 21.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 7.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Philadelphia vs Arizona: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Bryce Harper priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Philadelphia vs Arizona: Hits?
- Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Philadelphia odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.