Philadelphia vs New York M: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Bryce Harper at 99.0% versus Kyle Schwarber at 9.0%. Final book consensus: Bryce Harper — / Kyle Schwarber — / Brett Baty — / Juan Soto — / Trea Turner — / Francisco Alvarez — / A.J. Ewing — / Gabriel Rincones — / Bryson Stott — / Bo Bichette — / Francisco Alvarez — / Carson Benge — / Mark Vientos — / Rafael Marchán — / Edmundo Sosa — / Carson Benge — / Francisco Lindor — / Jared Young — / Francisco Lindor — / Bo Bichette — / Edmundo Sosa — / Juan Soto — / Mark Vientos — / Justin Crawford — / Jared Young — / Brett Baty — / A.J. Ewing — / Brandon Marsh — / Kyle Schwarber — / Trea Turner — / Bryce Harper — / Rafael Marchán —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Alvarez | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Rincones | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Alvarez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mark Vientos | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Marchán | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edmundo Sosa | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jared Young | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bo Bichette | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edmundo Sosa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mark Vientos | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jared Young | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Marchán | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Philadelphia vs New York M: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Bryce Harper priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Philadelphia vs New York M: Home Runs?
- Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Rincones: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mark Vientos: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Marchán: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edmundo Sosa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jared Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bo Bichette: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edmundo Sosa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mark Vientos: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jared Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Marchán: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Philadelphia odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.