Philadelphia vs Washington: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Rafael Marchán at 99.0% versus Bryce Harper at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Rafael Marchán — / Bryce Harper — / James Wood — / James Wood — / Nasim Nuñez — / Brandon Marsh — / Curtis Mead — / Derek Hill — / Dylan Crews — / Dylan Crews — / Jacob Young — / Keibert Ruiz — / Keibert Ruiz — / Luis García — / Nasim Nuñez — / CJ Abrams — / Daylen Lile — / Edmundo Sosa — / Alec Bohm — / Trea Turner — / Dylan Crews — / Curtis Mead — / Bryce Harper — / Brandon Marsh — / Bryson Stott — / Bryson Stott — / James Wood — / Edmundo Sosa — / Kyle Schwarber — / Brandon Marsh — / Bryce Harper — / Bryson Stott — / Daylen Lile — / Jacob Young — / Keibert Ruiz — / Alec Bohm — / Rafael Marchán — / Alec Bohm — / Curtis Mead — / Edmundo Sosa — / Trea Turner — / Kyle Schwarber — / CJ Abrams — / Rafael Marchán — / CJ Abrams — / Trea Turner — / CJ Abrams — / Bryce Harper — / Trea Turner — / Kyle Schwarber —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Marchán | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James Wood | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James Wood | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nasim Nuñez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Curtis Mead | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Derek Hill | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dylan Crews | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dylan Crews | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jacob Young | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Keibert Ruiz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Keibert Ruiz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis García | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nasim Nuñez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| CJ Abrams | 82.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daylen Lile | 69.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edmundo Sosa | 63.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 52.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 37.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dylan Crews | 34.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Curtis Mead | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James Wood | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edmundo Sosa | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daylen Lile | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jacob Young | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Keibert Ruiz | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Marchán | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Curtis Mead | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edmundo Sosa | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| CJ Abrams | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Marchán | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| CJ Abrams | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| CJ Abrams | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Philadelphia vs Washington: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Rafael Marchán priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Philadelphia vs Washington: Hits?
- Rafael Marchán: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James Wood: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James Wood: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nasim Nuñez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Curtis Mead: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Derek Hill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dylan Crews: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dylan Crews: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jacob Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Keibert Ruiz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Keibert Ruiz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis García: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nasim Nuñez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · CJ Abrams: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daylen Lile: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edmundo Sosa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dylan Crews: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Curtis Mead: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James Wood: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edmundo Sosa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daylen Lile: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jacob Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Keibert Ruiz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Marchán: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Curtis Mead: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edmundo Sosa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · CJ Abrams: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Marchán: — median de-vigged across 0 books · CJ Abrams: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · CJ Abrams: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Philadelphia odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.