San Diego vs Arizona: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Tim Tawa at 99.0% versus Gabriel Moreno at 8.0%. Final book consensus: Tim Tawa — / Gabriel Moreno — / Ty France — / Jackson Merrill — / Adrian Del Castillo — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Luis Campusano — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Ty France — / Sung-Mun Song — / Luis Rengifo — / Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Ketel Marte — / Nolan Arenado — / Nolan Arenado — / Jake Cronenworth — / Max Kepler — / Luis Campusano — / Manny Machado — / Corbin Carroll — / Ketel Marte — / Corbin Carroll — / Manny Machado — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Xander Bogaerts — / Adrian Del Castillo — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Tim Tawa — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Gabriel Moreno — / Max Kepler — / James McCann — / James McCann — / Jake Cronenworth — / Xander Bogaerts —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Tawa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adrian Del Castillo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sung-Mun Song | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Kepler | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adrian Del Castillo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Kepler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Diego vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Tim Tawa priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Diego vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adrian Del Castillo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sung-Mun Song: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Kepler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adrian Del Castillo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Kepler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Diego odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.