San Diego vs Arizona: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nolan Arenado at 9.0% versus Max Kepler at 8.0%. Final book consensus: Nolan Arenado — / Max Kepler — / Lars Nootbaar — / Tim Tawa — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Freddy Fermin — / Manny Machado — / Gabriel Moreno — / Jake Cronenworth — / Xander Bogaerts — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Luis Rengifo — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Corbin Carroll — / Manny Machado — / Jackson Merrill — / Ketel Marte — / Jackson Merrill — / Corbin Carroll — / Ketel Marte — / Gabriel Moreno — / Gavin Sheets — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Luis Rengifo — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Tim Tawa — / Xander Bogaerts — / Gavin Sheets — / Freddy Fermin — / Ty France —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Kepler | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddy Fermin | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddy Fermin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Diego vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nolan Arenado priced at 9.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Diego vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Kepler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Diego odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.