San Diego vs Cincinnati: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ty France at 99.0% versus JJ Bleday at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Ty France — / JJ Bleday — / Juan Brito — / Héctor Rodríguez — / Manny Machado — / Ty France — / Dane Myers — / Edwin Arroyo — / Manny Machado — / Austin Hays — / Tyler Stephenson — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Jackson Merrill — / Jake Cronenworth — / JJ Bleday — / Jake Cronenworth — / Matt McLain — / Matt McLain — / Samad Taylor — / Samad Taylor — / Tyler Stephenson — / Xander Bogaerts — / Xander Bogaerts — / Austin Hays — / Edwin Arroyo — / Dane Myers — / Héctor Rodríguez — / Juan Brito — / Luis Campusano — / Luis Campusano — / Elly De La Cruz — / Sal Stewart — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Jackson Merrill — / Elly De La Cruz — / Sal Stewart —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty France | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Brito | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Héctor Rodríguez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dane Myers | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edwin Arroyo | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Hays | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Hays | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edwin Arroyo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dane Myers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Héctor Rodríguez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Brito | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elly De La Cruz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elly De La Cruz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Diego vs Cincinnati: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ty France priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Diego vs Cincinnati: Home Runs?
- Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Brito: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Héctor Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dane Myers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edwin Arroyo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Hays: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Hays: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edwin Arroyo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dane Myers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Héctor Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Brito: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elly De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elly De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Diego odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.