San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Manny Machado at 99.0% versus Mookie Betts at 20.0%. Final book consensus: Manny Machado — / Mookie Betts — / Shohei Ohtani — / Manny Machado — / Tommy Edman — / Kyle Tucker — / Freddie Freeman — / Andy Pages — / Mookie Betts — / Ty France — / Teoscar Hernández — / Tommy Edman — / Jackson Merrill — / Andy Pages — / Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Shohei Ohtani — / Freddie Freeman — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Dustin Harris — / Teoscar Hernández — / Jake Cronenworth — / Max Muncy (LAD) — / Max Muncy (LAD) — / Samad Taylor — / Kyle Tucker — / Ty France — / Will Smith — / Xander Bogaerts — / Will Smith —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mookie Betts | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Shohei Ohtani | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Edman | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Tucker | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddie Freeman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andy Pages | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mookie Betts | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Teoscar Hernández | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Edman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andy Pages | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddie Freeman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Teoscar Hernández | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Tucker | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Will Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Will Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Manny Machado priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Home Runs?
- Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mookie Betts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Shohei Ohtani: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Edman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Tucker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddie Freeman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andy Pages: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mookie Betts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Teoscar Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Edman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andy Pages: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Shohei Ohtani: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddie Freeman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Teoscar Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Muncy (LAD): — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Muncy (LAD): — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Tucker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Will Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Will Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Diego Padres odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.