San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Jackson Chourio at 99.0% versus William Contreras at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Jackson Chourio — / William Contreras — / Dustin Harris — / Joey Ortiz — / Ty France — / Ty France — / Jackson Merrill — / Jackson Merrill — / Garrett Mitchell — / Xander Bogaerts — / Cooper Pratt — / Jake Bauers — / Luis Lara — / Jake Bauers — / Manny Machado — / Brice Turang — / William Contreras — / Jackson Chourio — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Garrett Mitchell — / Joey Ortiz — / Luis Campusano — / Cooper Pratt — / Jake Cronenworth — / Christian Yelich — / Ethan Salas — / Xander Bogaerts — / Christian Yelich — / Manny Machado — / Brice Turang — / Fernando Tatis Jr. —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| William Contreras | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 39.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joey Ortiz | 39.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Mitchell | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cooper Pratt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Bauers | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Lara | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Bauers | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brice Turang | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| William Contreras | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Chourio | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Mitchell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joey Ortiz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cooper Pratt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Yelich | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ethan Salas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Yelich | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brice Turang | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Jackson Chourio priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Home Runs?
- Jackson Chourio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · William Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joey Ortiz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Mitchell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cooper Pratt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Bauers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Lara: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Bauers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brice Turang: — median de-vigged across 0 books · William Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Chourio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Mitchell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joey Ortiz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cooper Pratt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Yelich: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ethan Salas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Yelich: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brice Turang: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Diego Padres odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.