San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Jackson Merrill at 13.0% versus Fernando Tatis Jr. at 11.0%. Final book consensus: Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Christian Yelich — / Ty France — / Manny Machado — / Xander Bogaerts — / William Contreras — / Jackson Merrill — / Brice Turang — / Manny Machado — / Jake Bauers — / Jake Cronenworth — / Sal Frelick — / William Contreras — / Jackson Chourio — / Brice Turang — / Jackson Chourio — / Christian Yelich — / Cooper Pratt — / David Hamilton — / Dustin Harris — / Dustin Harris — / Ethan Salas — / Garrett Mitchell — / Garrett Mitchell — / Luis Campusano — / Xander Bogaerts — / Ty France — / Jake Bauers — / Gavin Sheets —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Yelich | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| William Contreras | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brice Turang | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Bauers | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Frelick | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| William Contreras | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Chourio | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brice Turang | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Chourio | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Yelich | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cooper Pratt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| David Hamilton | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ethan Salas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Mitchell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Mitchell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Bauers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Jackson Merrill priced at 13.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Home Runs?
- Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Yelich: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · William Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brice Turang: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Bauers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Frelick: — median de-vigged across 0 books · William Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Chourio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brice Turang: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Chourio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Yelich: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cooper Pratt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · David Hamilton: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ethan Salas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Mitchell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Mitchell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Bauers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Diego Padres odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.