San Diego vs San Francisco: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Manny Machado at 99.0% versus Jackson Merrill at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Manny Machado — / Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Shay Whitcomb — / Shay Whitcomb — / Samad Taylor — / Jake Cronenworth — / Dustin Harris — / Bryce Eldridge — / Bryce Eldridge — / Christian Koss — / Ethan Salas — / Christian Koss — / Andrew Knizner — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Jonah Cox — / Rafael Devers — / Samad Taylor — / Jonah Cox — / Manny Machado — / Bryce Eldridge — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Dustin Harris — / Rafael Devers — / Jackson Merrill — / Christian Koss — / Shay Whitcomb — / Luis Campusano — / Samad Taylor — / Xander Bogaerts — / Dustin Harris — / Jake Cronenworth — / Rafael Devers — / Xander Bogaerts — / Luis Campusano — / Manny Machado — / Xander Bogaerts — / Jonah Cox — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Jackson Merrill — / Jake Cronenworth — / Ethan Salas — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Drew Gilbert — / Manny Machado — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Luis Campusano — / Brett Harris — / Ethan Salas — / Andrew Knizner — / Andrew Knizner — / Brett Harris — / Drew Gilbert — / Brett Harris — / Drew Gilbert —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Shay Whitcomb | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Shay Whitcomb | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Koss | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ethan Salas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Koss | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Knizner | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 89.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 89.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonah Cox | 86.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 63.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 40.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonah Cox | 34.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 32.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Koss | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Shay Whitcomb | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 21.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonah Cox | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ethan Salas | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Harris | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ethan Salas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Knizner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Knizner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Harris | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Harris | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Diego vs San Francisco: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Manny Machado priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Diego vs San Francisco: Hits?
- Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Shay Whitcomb: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Shay Whitcomb: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Koss: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ethan Salas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Koss: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Knizner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonah Cox: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonah Cox: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Koss: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Shay Whitcomb: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonah Cox: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ethan Salas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ethan Salas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Knizner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Knizner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Diego odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.