San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nick Castellanos at 99.0% versus Rodolfo Durán at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Nick Castellanos — / Rodolfo Durán — / J.P. Crawford — / Gavin Sheets — / Rodolfo Durán — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Mitch Garver — / Brendan Donovan — / Luke Raley — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Luke Raley — / Nick Castellanos — / Josh Naylor — / Randy Arozarena — / Julio Rodríguez — / Jhonny Pereda — / Leo Rivas — / Dominic Canzone — / Jackson Merrill — / Miguel Andujar — / Manny Machado — / Jackson Merrill — / Ramón Laureano — / Xander Bogaerts — / Randy Arozarena — / Cole Young — / Manny Machado — / Josh Naylor — / Julio Rodríguez — / Cole Young — / Gavin Sheets —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rodolfo Durán | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.P. Crawford | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rodolfo Durán | 52.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mitch Garver | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brendan Donovan | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luke Raley | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luke Raley | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Castellanos | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Naylor | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jhonny Pereda | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Leo Rivas | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dominic Canzone | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Andujar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ramón Laureano | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Young | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Naylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Young | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nick Castellanos priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners: Home Runs?
- Nick Castellanos: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rodolfo Durán: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.P. Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rodolfo Durán: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mitch Garver: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brendan Donovan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luke Raley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luke Raley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Castellanos: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jhonny Pereda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Leo Rivas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dominic Canzone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Andujar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ramón Laureano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Diego Padres odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.