San Francisco vs A's: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Luis Arraez at 99.0% versus Harrison Bader at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Luis Arraez — / Harrison Bader — / Willy Adames — / Brent Rooker — / Rafael Devers — / Zack Gelof — / Brent Rooker — / Carlos Cortes — / Carlos Cortes — / Casey Schmitt — / Matt Chapman — / Willy Adames — / Drew Gilbert — / Eric Haase — / Jonah Heim — / Tyler Soderstrom — / Matt Chapman — / Rafael Devers — / Nick Kurtz — / Nick Kurtz — / Jeff McNeil — / Casey Schmitt — / Daniel Susac — / Daniel Susac — / Drew Gilbert — / Eric Haase — / Lawrence Butler — / Lawrence Butler — / Tyler Soderstrom — / Zack Gelof — / Darell Hernaiz — / Nick Kurtz — / Harrison Bader —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Harrison Bader | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brent Rooker | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Zack Gelof | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brent Rooker | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Cortes | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Cortes | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Casey Schmitt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eric Haase | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonah Heim | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Soderstrom | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Kurtz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Kurtz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeff McNeil | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Casey Schmitt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daniel Susac | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daniel Susac | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eric Haase | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lawrence Butler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lawrence Butler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Soderstrom | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Zack Gelof | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Darell Hernaiz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Kurtz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Harrison Bader | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Francisco vs A's: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Luis Arraez priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Francisco vs A's: Home Runs?
- Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Harrison Bader: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brent Rooker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Zack Gelof: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brent Rooker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Cortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Cortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eric Haase: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonah Heim: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Soderstrom: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Kurtz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Kurtz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeff McNeil: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eric Haase: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lawrence Butler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lawrence Butler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Soderstrom: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Zack Gelof: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Darell Hernaiz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Kurtz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Harrison Bader: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Francisco odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.