San Francisco vs Arizona: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nolan Arenado at 99.0% versus Gabriel Moreno at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Nolan Arenado — / Gabriel Moreno — / Willy Adames — / Corbin Carroll — / Gabriel Moreno — / Bryce Eldridge — / Rafael Devers — / Matt Chapman — / Ketel Marte — / Bryce Eldridge — / Harrison Bader — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Jose Fernandez — / Tim Tawa — / Luis Arraez — / Rafael Devers — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Casey Schmitt — / Casey Schmitt — / Eric Haase — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Corbin Carroll — / Matt Chapman — / Nolan Arenado — / Eric Haase — / Willy Adames — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Harrison Bader —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Harrison Bader | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Fernandez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Casey Schmitt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Casey Schmitt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eric Haase | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eric Haase | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Harrison Bader | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Francisco vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nolan Arenado priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Francisco vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Harrison Bader: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Fernandez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eric Haase: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eric Haase: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Harrison Bader: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Francisco odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.