mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
San Francisco vs Arizona: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Rafael Devers at 99.0% versus Willy Adames at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Rafael Devers — / Willy Adames — / Harrison Bader — / Corbin Carroll — / Will Brennan — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Casey Schmitt — / Drew Gilbert — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Ketel Marte — / Ketel Marte — / Adrian Del Castillo — / Daniel Susac — / Matt Chapman — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Nolan Arenado — / Harrison Bader — / Matt Chapman — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Luis Arraez — / Gabriel Moreno — / Rafael Devers — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Casey Schmitt — / Daniel Susac — / Drew Gilbert — / Will Brennan — / Willy Adames —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Harrison Bader | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Will Brennan | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Casey Schmitt | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adrian Del Castillo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daniel Susac | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Harrison Bader | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Casey Schmitt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daniel Susac | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Will Brennan | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Francisco vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Rafael Devers priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Francisco vs Arizona: Home Runs?
- Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Harrison Bader: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Will Brennan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adrian Del Castillo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Harrison Bader: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Will Brennan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Francisco odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.