San Francisco vs Chicago C: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Casey Schmitt at 99.0% versus Willy Adames at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Casey Schmitt — / Willy Adames — / Willy Adames — / Casey Schmitt — / Matt Chapman — / Seiya Suzuki — / Matt Chapman — / Seiya Suzuki — / Pete Crow-Armstrong — / Rafael Devers — / Alex Bregman — / Ian Happ — / Dansby Swanson — / Nico Hoerner — / Miguel Amaya — / Michael Busch — / Carson Kelly — / Daniel Susac — / Pete Crow-Armstrong — / Alex Bregman — / Bryce Eldridge — / Bryce Eldridge — / Carson Kelly — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Daniel Susac — / Ian Happ — / Dansby Swanson — / Ian Happ — / Nico Hoerner — / Luis Arraez — / Michael Busch — / Luis Arraez — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Drew Gilbert — / Rafael Devers —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Schmitt | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Casey Schmitt | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Seiya Suzuki | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Seiya Suzuki | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alex Bregman | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Ian Happ | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dansby Swanson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nico Hoerner | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Amaya | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Busch | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Kelly | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daniel Susac | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alex Bregman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Kelly | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daniel Susac | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ian Happ | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dansby Swanson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ian Happ | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Busch | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Francisco vs Chicago C: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Casey Schmitt priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Francisco vs Chicago C: Home Runs?
- Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Seiya Suzuki: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Seiya Suzuki: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Crow-Armstrong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alex Bregman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ian Happ: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dansby Swanson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nico Hoerner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Amaya: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Busch: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Kelly: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Crow-Armstrong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alex Bregman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Kelly: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ian Happ: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dansby Swanson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ian Happ: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nico Hoerner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Busch: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Francisco odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.