mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
San Francisco vs Milwaukee: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Willy Adames at 19.0% versus Casey Schmitt at 16.0%. Final book consensus: Willy Adames — / Casey Schmitt — / Rafael Devers — / Matt Chapman — / Bryce Eldridge — / Jake Bauers — / William Contreras — / Christian Yelich — / Garrett Mitchell — / Victor Bericoto — / Daniel Susac — / Brice Turang — / Andrew Vaughn — / David Hamilton — / Luis Rengifo — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Sal Frelick — / Luis Arraez — / Bryce Eldridge — / Jake Bauers — / Willy Adames — / Matt Chapman — / Casey Schmitt — / William Contreras — / Rafael Devers — / Victor Bericoto — / Christian Yelich —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Casey Schmitt | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Bauers | 10.5% | — | 0 | — |
| William Contreras | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Yelich | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Mitchell | 7.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Bericoto | 7.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Daniel Susac | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brice Turang | 6.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Vaughn | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| David Hamilton | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Frelick | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Bauers | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Chapman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Casey Schmitt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| William Contreras | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Bericoto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Yelich | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Francisco vs Milwaukee: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Willy Adames priced at 19.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Francisco vs Milwaukee: Home Runs?
- Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Bauers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · William Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Yelich: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Mitchell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Bericoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brice Turang: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Vaughn: — median de-vigged across 0 books · David Hamilton: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Frelick: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Bauers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · William Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Bericoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Yelich: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Francisco odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.