San Francisco vs Pittsburgh: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Rafael Devers at 99.0% versus Esmerlyn Valdez at 42.0%. Final book consensus: Rafael Devers — / Esmerlyn Valdez — / Rafael Flores — / Brandon Lowe — / Oneil Cruz — / Rafael Flores — / Rafael Devers — / Shay Whitcomb — / Spencer Horwitz — / Spencer Horwitz — / Turner Hill — / Turner Hill — / Christian Koss — / Drew Cavanaugh — / Drew Gilbert — / Drew Gilbert — / Esmerlyn Valdez — / Jake Mangum — / Jared Triolo — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Nate Furman — / Nate Furman — / Nick Gonzales — / Shay Whitcomb — / Bryce Eldridge — / Bryce Eldridge — / Bryan Reynolds — / Oneil Cruz — / Brandon Lowe — / Bryan Reynolds —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | 42.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Flores | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Lowe | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Oneil Cruz | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Flores | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Shay Whitcomb | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Spencer Horwitz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Spencer Horwitz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Turner Hill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Turner Hill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Koss | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Cavanaugh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Mangum | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jared Triolo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nate Furman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nate Furman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Gonzales | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Shay Whitcomb | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Oneil Cruz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Lowe | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Francisco vs Pittsburgh: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Rafael Devers priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Francisco vs Pittsburgh: Home Runs?
- Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Esmerlyn Valdez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Flores: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Oneil Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Flores: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Shay Whitcomb: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Spencer Horwitz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Spencer Horwitz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Turner Hill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Turner Hill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Koss: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Cavanaugh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Esmerlyn Valdez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Mangum: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jared Triolo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nate Furman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nate Furman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Gonzales: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Shay Whitcomb: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan Reynolds: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Oneil Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan Reynolds: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Francisco odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.