mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
San Francisco vs San Diego: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Freddy Fermin at 99.0% versus Rafael Devers at 10.0%. Final book consensus: Freddy Fermin — / Rafael Devers — / Christian Koss — / Jake Cronenworth — / Jackson Merrill — / Luis Arraez — / Rafael Devers — / Willy Adames — / Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Manny Machado — / Daniel Susac — / Drew Gilbert — / Luis Rengifo — / Xander Bogaerts — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Manny Machado — / Bryce Eldridge — / Heliot Ramos — / Bryce Eldridge — / Daniel Susac — / Ty France — / Ty France — / Jase Bowen —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Koss | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Devers | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Willy Adames | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daniel Susac | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Gilbert | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heliot Ramos | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Eldridge | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daniel Susac | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jase Bowen | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price San Francisco vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Freddy Fermin priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for San Francisco vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Koss: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heliot Ramos: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jase Bowen: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live San Francisco odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.