Tampa Bay vs Baltimore: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Victor Mesa at 99.0% versus Jonathan Aranda at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Victor Mesa — / Jonathan Aranda — / Blaze Alexander — / Junior Caminero — / Pete Alonso — / Adley Rutschman — / Taylor Walls — / Gunnar Henderson — / Jonathan Aranda — / Taylor Ward — / Richie Palacios — / Cedric Mullins — / Jackson Holliday — / Pete Alonso — / Yandy Díaz — / Chandler Simpson — / Leody Taveras — / Gunnar Henderson — / Taylor Walls — / Blaze Alexander — / Cedric Mullins — / Yandy Díaz — / Tyler O'Neill — / Weston Wilson — / Tyler O'Neill — / Richie Palacios — / Hunter Feduccia — / Hunter Feduccia — / Jackson Holliday — / Leody Taveras — / Junior Caminero —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Mesa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Blaze Alexander | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pete Alonso | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gunnar Henderson | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Ward | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Holliday | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Pete Alonso | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Leody Taveras | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gunnar Henderson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Blaze Alexander | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler O'Neill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Weston Wilson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler O'Neill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Hunter Feduccia | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Hunter Feduccia | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Holliday | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Leody Taveras | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Tampa Bay vs Baltimore: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Victor Mesa priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Tampa Bay vs Baltimore: Home Runs?
- Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Blaze Alexander: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Alonso: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gunnar Henderson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Ward: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Holliday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Alonso: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Leody Taveras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gunnar Henderson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Blaze Alexander: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler O'Neill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Weston Wilson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler O'Neill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Hunter Feduccia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Hunter Feduccia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Holliday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Leody Taveras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Tampa Bay odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.