Tampa Bay vs Boston: Game 1 Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Carlos Narváez at 99.0% versus Masataka Yoshida at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Carlos Narváez — / Masataka Yoshida — / Jonny DeLuca — / Junior Caminero — / Masataka Yoshida — / Ryan Vilade — / Nick Fortes — / Wilyer Abreu — / Ben Williamson — / Jarren Duran — / Jonny DeLuca — / Tsung-Che Cheng — / Romy Gonzalez — / Taylor Walls — / Chandler Simpson — / Jonathan Aranda — / Junior Caminero — / Jonathan Aranda — / Anthony Seigler — / Caleb Durbin — / Caleb Durbin — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Jarren Duran — / Wilyer Abreu — / Yandy Díaz — / Ryan Vilade — / Yandy Díaz — / Anthony Seigler —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Narváez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masataka Yoshida | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masataka Yoshida | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tsung-Che Cheng | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Romy Gonzalez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anthony Seigler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anthony Seigler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Tampa Bay vs Boston: Game 1 Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Carlos Narváez priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Tampa Bay vs Boston: Game 1 Home Runs?
- Carlos Narváez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masataka Yoshida: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masataka Yoshida: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tsung-Che Cheng: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Romy Gonzalez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anthony Seigler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anthony Seigler: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Tampa Bay odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.