Tampa Bay vs Boston: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Victor Mesa at 99.0% versus Willson Contreras at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Victor Mesa — / Willson Contreras — / Victor Mesa — / Junior Caminero — / Jonathan Aranda — / Romy Gonzalez — / Yandy Díaz — / Jonathan Aranda — / Junior Caminero — / Cedric Mullins — / Chandler Simpson — / Wilyer Abreu — / Jarren Duran — / Jarren Duran — / Richie Palacios — / Willson Contreras — / Taylor Walls — / Jahmai Jones — / Cedric Mullins — / Caleb Durbin — / Yandy Díaz — / Hunter Feduccia — / Jahmai Jones — / Connor Wong — / Andruw Monasterio — / Wilyer Abreu — / Romy Gonzalez — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Ceddanne Rafaela —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Mesa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Romy Gonzalez | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jahmai Jones | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Hunter Feduccia | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jahmai Jones | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Connor Wong | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Romy Gonzalez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Tampa Bay vs Boston: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Victor Mesa priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Tampa Bay vs Boston: Home Runs?
- Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Romy Gonzalez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jahmai Jones: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Hunter Feduccia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jahmai Jones: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Connor Wong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Romy Gonzalez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Tampa Bay odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.