Tampa Bay vs Colorado: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Willi Castro at 99.0% versus Liam Hicks at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Willi Castro — / Liam Hicks — / Mickey Moniak — / Mickey Moniak — / Hunter Goodman — / Jake McCarthy — / Jonathan Aranda — / Yandy Díaz — / Victor Mesa — / Junior Caminero — / Cole Carrigg — / Jake McCarthy — / Taylor Walls — / Junior Caminero — / Chandler Simpson — / Jonathan Aranda — / Kyle Karros — / Richie Palacios — / Yandy Díaz — / Cedric Mullins — / Ezequiel Tovar — / Hunter Goodman — / Cole Carrigg — / T.J. Rumfield — / Willi Castro — / Ezequiel Tovar — / Kyle Karros — / T.J. Rumfield — / Richie Palacios — / Liam Hicks — / Taylor Walls — / Victor Mesa — / Jordan Beck — / Cedric Mullins — / Junior Caminero —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Moniak | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Moniak | 66.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Hunter Goodman | 52.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake McCarthy | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Carrigg | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake McCarthy | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Karros | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ezequiel Tovar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Hunter Goodman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Carrigg | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| T.J. Rumfield | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willi Castro | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ezequiel Tovar | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Karros | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| T.J. Rumfield | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Beck | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Tampa Bay vs Colorado: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Willi Castro priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Tampa Bay vs Colorado: Home Runs?
- Willi Castro: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Moniak: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Moniak: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Hunter Goodman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake McCarthy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Carrigg: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake McCarthy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Karros: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ezequiel Tovar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Hunter Goodman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Carrigg: — median de-vigged across 0 books · T.J. Rumfield: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willi Castro: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ezequiel Tovar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Karros: — median de-vigged across 0 books · T.J. Rumfield: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Beck: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Tampa Bay odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.