Tampa Bay vs Seattle: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Victor Mesa at 99.0% versus Jonathan Aranda at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Victor Mesa — / Jonathan Aranda — / Cal Raleigh — / Julio Rodríguez — / Chandler Simpson — / Josh Naylor — / Josh Naylor — / Josh Naylor — / Richie Palacios — / Richie Palacios — / Cedric Mullins — / Taylor Ward — / Brendan Donovan — / Cole Young — / Chandler Simpson — / Brendan Donovan — / Cal Raleigh — / Brendan Donovan — / Junior Caminero — / Randy Arozarena — / Taylor Ward — / Victor Mesa — / Jonathan Aranda — / Randy Arozarena — / Dominic Canzone — / Dominic Canzone — / Richie Palacios — / Jonathan Aranda — / Colt Emerson — / Junior Caminero — / Chandler Simpson — / Julio Rodríguez — / Chandler Simpson — / Cedric Mullins — / Cal Raleigh — / Yandy Díaz — / Colt Emerson — / Carson Williams — / Junior Caminero — / Julio Rodríguez — / Nick Fortes — / Nick Fortes — / Randy Arozarena — / Dominic Canzone — / Cole Young — / Yandy Díaz — / Cole Young — / Cedric Mullins — / Taylor Ward — / Yandy Díaz — / Colt Emerson — / Yandy Díaz — / Carson Williams — / Carson Williams —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Mesa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cal Raleigh | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Naylor | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Naylor | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Naylor | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Ward | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brendan Donovan | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Young | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brendan Donovan | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cal Raleigh | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brendan Donovan | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Ward | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dominic Canzone | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Dominic Canzone | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Colt Emerson | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cal Raleigh | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colt Emerson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Williams | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dominic Canzone | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Young | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Young | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Ward | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colt Emerson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Williams | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Williams | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Tampa Bay vs Seattle: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Victor Mesa priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Tampa Bay vs Seattle: Hits?
- Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cal Raleigh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Ward: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brendan Donovan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brendan Donovan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cal Raleigh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brendan Donovan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Ward: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dominic Canzone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dominic Canzone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colt Emerson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cal Raleigh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colt Emerson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Williams: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dominic Canzone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Ward: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colt Emerson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Williams: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Williams: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Tampa Bay odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.