Tampa Bay vs Seattle: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Josh Naylor at 99.0% versus Victor Mesa at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Josh Naylor — / Victor Mesa — / Josh Naylor — / Colt Emerson — / Julio Rodríguez — / Taylor Walls — / Victor Mesa — / Cal Raleigh — / Dominic Canzone — / Jonathan Aranda — / Cole Young — / Taylor Ward — / Brendan Donovan — / Carson Williams — / Cal Raleigh — / Colt Emerson — / Yandy Díaz — / Randy Arozarena — / Chandler Simpson — / Dominic Canzone — / Junior Caminero — / Julio Rodríguez — / Jonathan Aranda — / Randy Arozarena — / Junior Caminero — / Brendan Donovan — / Cedric Mullins — / Cole Young — / Taylor Walls — / Taylor Ward — / Yandy Díaz — / Richie Palacios — / Nick Fortes — / Carson Williams —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Naylor | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colt Emerson | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cal Raleigh | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dominic Canzone | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Young | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Ward | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Brendan Donovan | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Williams | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cal Raleigh | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Colt Emerson | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dominic Canzone | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brendan Donovan | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Young | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Ward | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Williams | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Tampa Bay vs Seattle: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Josh Naylor priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Tampa Bay vs Seattle: Home Runs?
- Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colt Emerson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cal Raleigh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dominic Canzone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Ward: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brendan Donovan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Williams: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cal Raleigh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colt Emerson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dominic Canzone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brendan Donovan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Ward: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Williams: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Tampa Bay odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.