Tampa Bay vs Toronto: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nathan Lukes at 99.0% versus Nathan Lukes at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Nathan Lukes — / Nathan Lukes — / Nick Fortes — / Taylor Walls — / Victor Mesa — / Yandy Díaz — / Alejandro Kirk — / Chandler Simpson — / Jonathan Aranda — / Junior Caminero — / Junior Caminero — / Junior Caminero — / George Springer — / Yandy Díaz — / George Springer — / Ernie Clement — / Cedric Mullins — / Ernie Clement — / Taylor Walls — / Nick Fortes — / Andrés Giménez — / George Springer — / Nathan Lukes — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Myles Straw — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Ernie Clement — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Yandy Díaz — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Jonathan Aranda — / Ernie Clement — / Myles Straw — / Richie Palacios — / Cedric Mullins — / Andrés Giménez — / Daulton Varsho — / Jonathan Aranda — / Chandler Simpson — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Victor Mesa — / Richie Palacios —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lukes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 63.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 57.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Myles Straw | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Myles Straw | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Tampa Bay vs Toronto: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nathan Lukes priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Tampa Bay vs Toronto: Hits?
- Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Myles Straw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Myles Straw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Tampa Bay odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.