Texas vs Tampa Bay: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Jonathan Aranda at 99.0% versus Cameron Cauley at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Jonathan Aranda — / Cameron Cauley — / Ryan Vilade — / Jake Burger — / Elias Díaz — / Yandy Díaz — / Nicky Lopez — / Ben Williamson — / Cameron Cauley — / Chandler Simpson — / Justin Foscue — / Brandon Nimmo — / Yandy Díaz — / Nicky Lopez — / Brandon Nimmo — / Alejandro Osuna — / Justin Foscue — / Jake Burger — / Elias Díaz — / Taylor Walls — / Junior Caminero — / Cameron Cauley — / Wyatt Langford — / Junior Caminero — / Jonathan Aranda — / Nick Fortes — / Chandler Simpson — / Jonny DeLuca — / Yandy Díaz — / Ben Williamson — / Jake Burger — / Wyatt Langford — / Nick Fortes — / Alejandro Osuna — / Jonathan Aranda — / Ezequiel Duran — / Taylor Walls — / Yandy Díaz — / Junior Caminero — / Nicky Lopez — / Ryan Vilade — / Ezequiel Duran — / Brandon Nimmo — / Nick Fortes — / Chandler Simpson — / Alejandro Osuna — / Jonny DeLuca — / Wyatt Langford — / Jonny DeLuca — / Junior Caminero — / Ryan Vilade — / Elias Díaz — / Ezequiel Duran —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cameron Cauley | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Burger | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elias Díaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nicky Lopez | 32.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cameron Cauley | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Foscue | 25.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Nimmo | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nicky Lopez | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Nimmo | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Osuna | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Foscue | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Burger | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elias Díaz | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cameron Cauley | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wyatt Langford | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Burger | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wyatt Langford | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Osuna | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ezequiel Duran | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nicky Lopez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ezequiel Duran | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Nimmo | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Osuna | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wyatt Langford | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elias Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ezequiel Duran | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Texas vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Jonathan Aranda priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Texas vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cameron Cauley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Burger: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elias Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nicky Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cameron Cauley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Foscue: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Nimmo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nicky Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Nimmo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Osuna: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Foscue: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Burger: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elias Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cameron Cauley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wyatt Langford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Burger: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wyatt Langford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Osuna: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ezequiel Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nicky Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ezequiel Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Nimmo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Osuna: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wyatt Langford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elias Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ezequiel Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Texas odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.