mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Texas vs Toronto: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Joc Pederson at 99.0% versus Nathan Lukes at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Joc Pederson — / Nathan Lukes — / Brandon Nimmo — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Joc Pederson — / George Springer — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Daulton Varsho — / Alejandro Kirk — / Ezequiel Duran — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Evan Carter — / Alejandro Osuna — / Ernie Clement — / Brandon Nimmo — / Alejandro Kirk — / Jake Burger — / Yohendrick Pinango — / Andrés Giménez — / George Springer — / Elias Díaz — / Corey Seager — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Jake Burger — / Josh Jung — / Corey Seager — / Evan Carter —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Nimmo | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joc Pederson | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Ezequiel Duran | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Evan Carter | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Osuna | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Nimmo | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Burger | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yohendrick Pinango | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elias Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corey Seager | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Burger | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Jung | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corey Seager | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Evan Carter | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Texas vs Toronto: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Joc Pederson priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Texas vs Toronto: Home Runs?
- Joc Pederson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Nimmo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joc Pederson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ezequiel Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Evan Carter: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Osuna: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Nimmo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Burger: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yohendrick Pinango: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elias Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corey Seager: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Burger: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Jung: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corey Seager: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Evan Carter: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Texas odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.