Toronto vs Houston: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Alejandro Kirk at 99.0% versus Daulton Varsho at 24.0%. Final book consensus: Alejandro Kirk — / Daulton Varsho — / Yordan Alvarez — / Ernie Clement — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Christian Walker — / Jose Altuve — / Daulton Varsho — / Myles Straw — / Ernie Clement — / Myles Straw — / Christian Walker — / Andrés Giménez — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Nathan Lukes — / George Springer — / Jeremy Peña — / Isaac Paredes — / Jesús Sánchez — / Alejandro Kirk — / Cam Smith — / Yainer Diaz — / Jeremy Peña — / Yainer Diaz — / Andrés Giménez — / Jose Altuve — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Yordan Alvarez — / Yordan Alvarez — / George Springer — / Jesús Sánchez — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Taylor Trammell — / Isaac Paredes — / Cam Smith — / Taylor Trammell — / Nathan Lukes —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Myles Straw | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Myles Straw | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs Houston: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Alejandro Kirk priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs Houston: Home Runs?
- Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Myles Straw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Myles Straw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Toronto odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.