Toronto vs Philadelphia: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nathan Lukes at 99.0% versus Josh Smith at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Nathan Lukes — / Josh Smith — / Jesús Sánchez — / J.T. Realmuto — / Kyle Schwarber — / Bryce Harper — / Bryce Harper — / Nathan Lukes — / Josh Smith — / Josh Smith — / Andrés Giménez — / George Springer — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Justin Crawford — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Alec Bohm — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Nathan Lukes — / Alec Bohm — / Bryson Stott — / Alejandro Kirk — / Ernie Clement — / Alejandro Kirk — / Andrés Giménez — / J.T. Realmuto — / Ernie Clement — / Luis Arraez — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Alejandro Kirk — / Brandon Marsh — / Luis Arraez — / Kyle Schwarber — / Trea Turner — / Trea Turner — / Trea Turner — / Kyle Schwarber — / Bryce Harper — / Trea Turner — / Bryce Harper — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Brandon Marsh — / Brandon Marsh — / J.T. Realmuto — / Justin Crawford — / Justin Crawford — / Jesús Sánchez — / Alec Bohm — / George Springer — / Luis Arraez — / Luis Arraez — / Bryson Stott — / Ernie Clement — / Bryson Stott —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lukes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 83.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 63.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 61.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs Philadelphia: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nathan Lukes priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs Philadelphia: Hits?
- Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Toronto odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.