Toronto vs Philadelphia: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Andrés Giménez at 99.0% versus Josh Smith at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Andrés Giménez — / Josh Smith — / Brandon Marsh — / Alec Bohm — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Trea Turner — / Bryce Harper — / J.T. Realmuto — / Kyle Schwarber — / Bryson Stott — / Alec Bohm — / George Springer — / Andrés Giménez — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Nathan Lukes — / Alejandro Kirk — / Justin Crawford — / Jesús Sánchez — / Jesús Sánchez — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Bryce Harper — / Kyle Schwarber — / Trea Turner — / Kyle Schwarber — / Ernie Clement — / J.T. Realmuto — / Brandon Marsh — / Bryson Stott — / Alejandro Kirk — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Luis Arraez — / Nathan Lukes —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Giménez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 58.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.T. Realmuto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs Philadelphia: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Andrés Giménez priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs Philadelphia: Home Runs?
- Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.T. Realmuto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Toronto odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.