mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Toronto vs Philadelphia: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nathan Lukes at 99.0% versus Bryce Harper at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Nathan Lukes — / Bryce Harper — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Trea Turner — / George Springer — / Luis Arraez — / Trea Turner — / Brandon Marsh — / Brandon Valenzuela — / Bryson Stott — / Brandon Marsh — / Andrés Giménez — / Jesús Sánchez — / Josh Smith — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Bryan De La Cruz — / Luis Arraez — / Justin Crawford — / Ernie Clement — / Myles Straw — / Kyle Schwarber — / Ernie Clement — / Bryan De La Cruz — / Jesús Sánchez — / Garrett Stubbs — / Kyle Schwarber — / Bryce Harper — / Kyle Schwarber —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lukes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Smith | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Myles Straw | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Garrett Stubbs | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs Philadelphia: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nathan Lukes priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs Philadelphia: Home Runs?
- Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Valenzuela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Myles Straw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Garrett Stubbs: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Toronto odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.