Toronto vs San Diego: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Xander Bogaerts at 99.0% versus Kazuma Okamoto at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Xander Bogaerts — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Manny Machado — / Luis Urías — / Alejandro Kirk — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / George Springer — / Myles Straw — / Jonatan Clase — / Manny Machado — / Rodolfo Durán — / Daulton Varsho — / Ernie Clement — / Miguel Andujar — / Jase Bowen — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Ty France — / Jackson Merrill — / George Springer — / Luis Urías — / Ty France — / Xander Bogaerts — / Jase Bowen — / Gavin Sheets — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Ernie Clement — / Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Daulton Varsho —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 59.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Urías | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Myles Straw | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonatan Clase | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rodolfo Durán | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Andujar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jase Bowen | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Urías | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jase Bowen | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Xander Bogaerts priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Urías: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Myles Straw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonatan Clase: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rodolfo Durán: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Andujar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jase Bowen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Urías: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jase Bowen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Toronto odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.