mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Toronto vs San Diego: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nathan Lukes at 99.0% versus Ernie Clement at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Nathan Lukes — / Ernie Clement — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Daulton Varsho — / Sung-Mun Song — / Brandon Valenzuela — / Daulton Varsho — / Rodolfo Durán — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Ernie Clement — / Xander Bogaerts — / Ty France — / Jake Cronenworth — / Manny Machado — / Jonatan Clase — / Andrés Giménez — / Jackson Merrill — / Nathan Lukes — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Gavin Sheets — / Sean Keys — / Manny Machado — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Fernando Tatis Jr. —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lukes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sung-Mun Song | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rodolfo Durán | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonatan Clase | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sean Keys | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nathan Lukes priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sung-Mun Song: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Valenzuela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rodolfo Durán: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonatan Clase: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sean Keys: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Toronto odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.