mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Toronto vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Josh Smith at 99.0% versus Alejandro Kirk at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Josh Smith — / Alejandro Kirk — / Kazuma Okamoto — / George Springer — / Alejandro Kirk — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Junior Caminero — / Nathan Lukes — / Brett Bateman — / Andrés Giménez — / Richie Palacios — / Liam Hicks — / Cedric Mullins — / Jonathan Aranda — / Taylor Walls — / Yandy Díaz — / Chandler Simpson — / Ernie Clement — / George Springer — / Jonathan Aranda — / Junior Caminero — / Victor Mesa — / Yandy Díaz — / Jesús Sánchez — / Andrés Giménez — / Cedric Mullins — / Ernie Clement — / Brett Bateman —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Bateman | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Bateman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Josh Smith priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- Josh Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Bateman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Bateman: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Toronto odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.