Toronto vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Alejandro Kirk at 99.0% versus Yandy Díaz at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Alejandro Kirk — / Yandy Díaz — / Nathan Lukes — / Alejandro Kirk — / Junior Caminero — / Charles McAdoo — / Brandon Valenzuela — / Jonathan Aranda — / Liam Hicks — / Richie Palacios — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Chandler Simpson — / Josh Smith — / Taylor Walls — / Andrés Giménez — / Jesús Sánchez — / Junior Caminero — / Cedric Mullins — / Yandy Díaz — / Jonathan Aranda — / Ryan Vilade — / Ryan Vilade — / Brett Bateman — / Brett Bateman — / Charles McAdoo — / Liam Hicks — / Andrés Giménez — / Brandon Valenzuela — / Cedric Mullins —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alejandro Kirk | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Charles McAdoo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Smith | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jesús Sánchez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Bateman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Bateman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Charles McAdoo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Alejandro Kirk priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alejandro Kirk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Charles McAdoo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Valenzuela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jesús Sánchez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Bateman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Bateman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Charles McAdoo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Valenzuela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Toronto odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.