Did Kalshi correctly price Austin vs Philadelphia?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 93.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Austin vs Philadelphia?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin: 16.0% median de-vigged across 11 books · Philadelphia: 23.4% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

mlsgameSettledAugust 23, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 93.5% versus Austin at 4.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Austin 16.0% / Philadelphia 23.4%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	93.5%	—	0	—
Austin	4.5%	16.0%	11	+11.5%
Philadelphia	3.5%	23.4%	11	+19.9%

Did Kalshi correctly price Austin vs Philadelphia?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 93.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Austin vs Philadelphia?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin: 16.0% median de-vigged across 11 books · Philadelphia: 23.4% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Austin odds?: For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.