Did Kalshi correctly price Cincinnati vs Seattle?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Cincinnati vs Seattle?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Seattle: 8.5% median de-vigged across 11 books · Cincinnati: 16.2% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

mlsgameSettledAugust 23, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 99.0% versus Seattle at 1.0%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Seattle 8.5% / Cincinnati 16.2%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	99.0%	—	0	—
Seattle	1.0%	8.5%	11	+7.5%
Cincinnati	1.0%	16.2%	11	+15.2%

Did Kalshi correctly price Cincinnati vs Seattle?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Cincinnati vs Seattle?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Seattle: 8.5% median de-vigged across 11 books · Cincinnati: 16.2% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Cincinnati odds?: For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.