Did Kalshi correctly price Philadelphia vs Miami?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 82.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Philadelphia vs Miami?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Philadelphia: 23.5% median de-vigged across 11 books · Miami: 19.0% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

mlsgameSettledAugust 20, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 82.0% versus Philadelphia at 16.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Philadelphia 23.5% / Miami 19.0%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	82.0%	—	0	—
Philadelphia	16.5%	23.5%	11	+7.0%
Miami	1.0%	19.0%	11	+18.0%

Did Kalshi correctly price Philadelphia vs Miami?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 82.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Philadelphia vs Miami?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Philadelphia: 23.5% median de-vigged across 11 books · Miami: 19.0% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Philadelphia odds?: For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.