Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs New York City?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 86.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs New York City?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Toronto: 38.2% median de-vigged across 11 books · New York City: 35.5% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

mlsgameSettledAugust 30, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 86.5% versus Toronto at 7.5%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Toronto 38.2% / New York City 35.5%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	86.5%	—	0	—
Toronto	7.5%	38.2%	11	+30.7%
New York City	6.0%	35.5%	11	+29.5%

Did Kalshi correctly price Toronto vs New York City?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 86.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Toronto vs New York City?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Toronto: 38.2% median de-vigged across 11 books · New York City: 35.5% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Toronto odds?: For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.