Did Kalshi correctly price Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 96.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.

What was the final book consensus for Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cincinnati: 7.9% median de-vigged across 11 books · Charlotte: 66.8% median de-vigged across 11 books

For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

mlsgameSettledSeptember 13, 2026

Kalshi closed with Tie at 96.5% versus Cincinnati at 4.0%. Final book consensus: Tie — / Cincinnati 7.9% / Charlotte 66.8%.

Side	Kalshi closing	Books median	Books count	Edge (books − Kalshi)
Tie	96.5%	—	0	—
Cincinnati	4.0%	7.9%	11	+3.9%
Charlotte	1.5%	66.8%	11	+65.3%

Did Kalshi correctly price Cincinnati vs Charlotte?: At settlement, Kalshi had Tie priced at 96.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Cincinnati vs Charlotte?: Tie: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cincinnati: 7.9% median de-vigged across 11 books · Charlotte: 66.8% median de-vigged across 11 books
Where can I find live Cincinnati odds?: For current MLS matchups, see the live MLS hub at /sports/mls, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mls/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.